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Published NTA Papers

Selected NTA Papers (Recent and important papers)

Lee, Ronald and Andrew Mason. 2009. "Fertility, Human Capital, and Economic Growth over the Demographic Transition," European Journal of Population. LM09EJP

Mason, Andrew, Ronald Lee, An-Chi Tung, Mun Sim Lai, and Tim Miller. 2009. “Population Aging and Intergenerational Transfers: Introducing Age into National Income Accounts,” pp. 89-126, in Developments in the Economics of Aging, edited by David Wise. Chicago: University of Chicago Press for the National Bureau of Economic Research. (Read the earlier version WP05-01)

Lee, Ronald and Andrew Mason. 2009. "Fertility, Human Capital, and Economic Growth over the Demographic Transition," in ''European Journal of Population,'' published online June 19.

Ogawa, Naohiro, Rikiya Matsukura, and Maliki. 2009. “Rapid Population Aging and Changing Intergenerational Transfers in Japan,” in International Handbook of Demography of Aging, edited by Peter Uhlenberg, Springer-Verlag.

Laishram Ladusingh and M.R. Narayana. 2008. "Population Aging and Life Cyle Deficit: The Case of India," in Population, Poverty & Health- Analytical Approaches, edited by K.K.Singh, R.C.Yadava and Arvind Pandey. New Delhi: Hindustan Publishing Corporation, pp. 259-276.

United Nations Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean. 2008. Demographic Change and Its Influence on Development in Latin America and the Caribbean. Report at 32nd session of ECLAC, at Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic.

Bixby, Luis Rosero and Arodys Robles. 2008. "Los dividendos demograficos y la economia del ciclo vital en Costa Rica". Papeles de Poblacion, 55, pp. 9-34. (in Spanish). BR08 Costa Rica

Lee, Ronald, Sang-Hyop Lee, and Andrew Mason. 2008. “Charting the Economic Lifecycle,” in Population Aging, Human Capital Accumulation, and Productivity Growth, a supplement to Population and Development Review 33, edited by A. Prskawetz, D. E. Bloom and W. Lutz. New York, Population Council. pp. 208-237. (Read the earlier version WP05-08). Also NBER Working Paper 12379 (July).

Mason, Andrew, and Ronald Lee. 2007. "Reform and Support Systems for the Elderly in Developing Countries: Capturing the Second Demographic Dividend," Genus LXII (2):11-35. (Read the earlier version WP06-05)

Lee, Ronald, and Andrew Mason. 2006. What is the Demographic Dividend? Finance and Development, September:16-17. (Read the earlier version WP06-08)

Complete List (by reversed chronology)

Lai, Mun Sim and Meechai Orsuwan. 2009. "Examining the impact of Taiwan's cash allowance program on private households," World Development, Vol 7. No.7 p1250-60.

Lee, Ronald and Andrew Mason. 2009. "Fertility, Human Capital, and Economic Growth over the Demographic Transition," in ''European Journal of Population,'' published online June 19.

Auerbach, Alan J. and Ronald D. Lee. 2009. "Notional Defined Contribution Pension Systems in a Stochastic Context: Design and Stability" in Social Security Policy in a Changing Environment, edited by Jeffrey Brown, Jeffrey Liebman and David Wise . Chicago: University of Chicago Press. Also NBER Working Paper 12805 (January 2, 2007).

Mason, Andrew, Ronald Lee, An-Chi Tung, Mun Sim Lai, and Tim Miller. 2009. “Population Aging and Intergenerational Transfers: Introducing Age into National Income Accounts,” in Developments in the Economics of Aging, edited by David Wise. National Bureau of Economic Research: University of Chicago Press.

Racelis, Rachel H., John Michael Ian S. Salas, Fe Vida N. Dy Liacco, and Raquel Dolores V. Sabeñano. 2008. "Philippine National Health Accounts: Estimating Individual Person Health Expenditures from Household Level Data," Philippine Statistician, 57, pp. 55-66.

Mason, Andrew, Sang-Hyop Lee, Ronald Lee, and Chong-Bum An. 2008. "Aging and Social Policy: An International Perspective," in Social Policy at the Crossroads: Trends in Advanced Countries and Implications for Korea, edited by Sang-Hyop Lee, Andrew Mason, and Kwang-Eon Sul, Pp. 191-210. Seoul: Korea Development Institute.

Ogawa, Naohiro, R.D. Retherford, and R. Matsukura. 2008. “Japan’s declining fertility and policy responses,” in Ultra-low Fertility in Pacific Asia: Trends, Causes and Policy Dilemma, edited by Gavin Jones. London: Taylor and Francis.

Bixby, Luis Rosero and Arodys Robles. 2008. "Los dividendos demograficos y la economia del ciclo vital en Costa Rica". Papeles de Poblacion, 55, pp. 9-34. (in Spanish). BR08 Costa Rica

Ogawa, Naohiro, Maliki, and Rikiya Matsukura. Forthcoming. “Population Aging and Demographic Dividends: Some Evidence from Selected Asian Countries,” in The Impact of Ageing, edited by G. Sinigoj, G. Jones, K. Hirokawa, and S. Linhart. Vienna: LIT, pp.69-85.

Robinson, Rachel Sullivan, Ronald Lee and Karen Kramer. 2008. "Counting Women's Labor: A Reanalysis of Children's Net Production in Mead Cain's Bangladeshi Village," Population studies62(1):25-38.

Lee, Ronald, Sang-Hyop Lee, and Andrew Mason. 2008. “Charting the Economic Lifecycle,” in Population Aging, Human Capital Accumulation, and Productivity Growth, a supplement to Population and Development Review, 33, edited by A. Prskawetz, D. E. Bloom and W. Lutz. New York, Population Council. Pp. 208-237. (Read the earlier version WP05-08). Also NBER Working Paper 12379 (July).

Maliki. 2008. “Health care and health care facilities demand among the Indonesian elderly,” Singapore Economic Review 53(1).

Ogawa, Naohiro, Rikiya Matsukura, and Maliki. 2008. “Rapid Population Aging and Changing Intergenerational Transfers in Japan,” in International Handbook of Demography of Aging, edited by Peter Uhlenberg, Springer-Verlag.

Queiroz, Bernardo L., Cassio Turra, and Elisenda R. Perez. 2008. “The Opportunities we can´t forgo: economic consequences of demographic changes in Brazil,” in Icfai's Professional Reference Book: The Demographic Dividend: Economic Consequences.

Wang Feng and Andrew Mason. 2008. “The Demographic Factor in China’s Transition,” in China’s Great Economic Transformation, edited by Loren Brandt and Thomas G. Rawski. Cambridge University Press, pp. 136-166.

Kinugasa, Tomoko and Andrew Mason. 2007. “Why Countries Become Wealthy: The Effects of Adult Longevity on Saving,” World Development 35(1): 1-23.

Lee, Sang-Hyop and Andrew Mason. 2007. “Who Gains from the Demographic Dividend? Forecasting Income by Age,” International Journal of Forecasting 24(4): 603-619.

Mason, Andrew and Wang Feng. 2007 “Dividends from China’s Declining Birth Rate,” Guanxi: The China Letter 2(4): 1-8.

Matsukura, Rikiya, Naohiro Ogawa, and Robert L. Clark. 2007."Analysis of employment patterns and the changing demographic structure of Japan," The Japanese Economy 34(1):82-153.

Matsukura, Rikiya, Robert D. Retherford, and Naohiro Ogawa. 2007. "Declining Fertility in Japan: Its Mechanisms and Policy Responses," Asia-Pacific Population Journal 22(2): 33-50.

Wang Feng and Andrew Mason. 2007. “Population Aging in China: Challenges, Opportunities, and Institutions,” China Population Science [in Chinese].

Clark, Robert L., Naohiro Ogawa, and Rikiya Matsukura. 2007. “Population Aging, Changing Retirement Policies and Lifetime Earnings Profiles in Japan,” in Population Aging, Intergenerational Transfers and the Macroeconomy, edited by Robert Clark, Naohiro Ogawa, and Andrew Mason. Cheltenham, UK, and Northampton, MA: Edward Elgar, pp. 17-34.

Clark, Robert, Andrew Mason, and Naohiro Ogawa, 2007. “Economic and policy implications of population aging,” Population Aging, Intergenerational Transfers and the Macroeconomy, edited by Robert Clark, Naohiro Ogawa, and Andrew Mason. Cheltenham, UK, and Northampton, MA: Edward Elgar, pp. 3-14.

Mason, Andrew. 2007. “Demographic Dividends: The Past, the Present, and the Future” in Population Change, Labor Markets and Sustainable Growth: Towards a New Economic Paradigm, edited by Andrew Mason and Mitoshi Yamaguchi. Elsevier Press.

Mason, Andrew and Ronald Lee. 2007. “Transfers, Capital, and Consumption over the Demographic Transition” in Population Aging, Intergenerational Transfers and the Macroeconomy, edited by Robert Clark, Naohiro Ogawa, and Andrew Mason. Cheltenham, UK, and Northampton, MA: Edward Elgar, pp. 128-162.

Ogawa, Naohiro, Andrew Mason, Maliki, Rikiya Matsukura and Kazuro Nemoto. 2007 “Population Aging and Health Care Spending in Japan: Public and Private Sector Responses” in Population Aging, Intergenerational Transfers and the Macroeconomy, edited by Robert Clark, Andrew Mason, and Naohiro Ogawa. Cheltenham, UK, and Northampton, MA: Elgar Press, pp. 192-233.

Wang Feng and Andrew Mason. 2007. “Population Aging in China: Challenges, Opportunities, and Institutions,” in Transition and Challenge: China’s Population at the Beginning of the 21st Century, edited by Zhongwei Zhao and Fei Guo. Oxford University Press, pp. 177-196.

Lee, Ronald. 2007. Global Population Aging and its Economic Consequences, Washington, D.C.: The AEI Press, American Enterprise Institute.

Mason, Andrew. 2007. “Demographic Transition and Demographic Dividends in Developing and Developed Countries,” Proceedings of the United Nations Expert Group Meeting on Social and Economic Implications of Changing Population Age Structures, Mexico City, 31 August – 2 September 2005.

Mason, Andrew, Sang-Hyop Lee, and Ronald Lee. 2007. “Asian Demographic Change: Its Economic and Social Implications.” Commissioned by the Asian Development Bank to be included in an edited volume.

Perez, Elisenda R.., Cassio Turra, and Bernardo L. Queiroz. 2007. “Abuelos y nietos, Una a convivencia beneficiosa para los más jóvenes? El caso de Brasil y Perú,” Papeles de Población, 52, pp. 47-75. (In Spanish).

Turra, Cassio M., and Bernardo L. Queiroz. 2007. “Before it's too late: demographic transition, labor supply, and social security problems in Brazil, “ Proceedings of the United Nations Expert Group Meeting on Social and Economic Implications of Changing Population Age Structures. Nova York: United Nations, 2007, pp. 103-118.

Wang Feng and Andrew Mason. 2007. “Demographic Dividends and Prospects for Development in China,” Proceedings of the United Nations Expert Group Meeting on Social and Economic Implications of Changing Population Age Structures, Mexico City, 31 August – 2 September.

Mason, Andrew. 2006. “Demographic Dividends and Public Policy,” Asia-Pacific Population Journal, 21(3): 7-16.

Mason, Andrew, and Ronald Lee. 2006 “Reform and Support Systems for the Elderly in Developing Countries: Capturing the Second Demographic Dividend,” GENUS LXII (2) 11-35.

Wolff, Francois-Charles, and Maliki. 2006. “Child health and labor, evidence from Indonesia,” Economics and Human Biology 6(1).

Lee, Ronald. 2006. "Discussion of 'The Rate of Return of Pay As You Go Pension Systems: A More Exact Consumption-Loan Model of Interest,'" in Pension Reform: Issues and Prospects for Non-Financial Defined Contribution (NDC) Schemes, edited by Holzmann, Robert and Edward Palmer. World Bank, 2006, pp. 143-147.

Ogawa, Naohiro,and Noriyuki Takayama. 2006. “Demography and Aging,” in The Oxford Handbook of Pensions and Retirement Income, edited by Gordon L. Clark, Alicia H. Munnell, and J. Michael Orszag. Oxford: Oxford University Press, pp. 163-182.

Ogawa, Naohiro, Robert D. Retherford, and Rikiya Matsukura. 2006. “Demographics of the Japanese Family: Entering Uncharted Territory,” in The Changing Japanese Family, edited by Marcus Rebick and Ayumi Takenaka. London: Routledge, pp. 19-38.

Retherford, Robert, and Naohiro Ogawa. 2006. “Japan’s Baby Bust; Causes, Implications, and Policy Responses,” in The Baby Bust: Who Will Do the Work? Who Will Pay the Taxes? edited by Fred R. Harris. Lanham, Maryland: Rowman & Littlefield, pp. 5-47.

Bravo, Jorge, and Fabio M. Bertranou. 2006. “Evolución demográfica y pensiones en Chile”, OIT Notas 4 - June 2006. Internacional Labour Office for the Southern Cone of Latin America, Santiago, Chile. Available at http://www.oitchile.cl/pdf/Cuarto%20numero.pdf

Miller, Tim. 2006. "Demographic Models for Projections of Social Sector Demand." United Nations, Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean, Population and Development Series. Original paper in Spanish; English version available at http://www.eclac.cl/publicaciones/xml/7/27197/lcl2477i-P.pdf.

Miller, Tim. 2008. "The Economic Impact of the Demographic Dividend on Social Sectors" in Demographic Change and its Influence on Development in Latin America and the Caribbean. United Nations, Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean. Original report in Spanish; English version available at http://www.cepal.cl/publicaciones/xml/5/33225/2008-271-SES.32-CELADE-INGLES.pdf

Turra, Cassio M., and Bernardo L. Queiroz. 2006. “Las Transferencias intergeneracionales y la desigualdad socioeconómica en el Brasil: un analísis inicial,” Notas de Población 80, Santiago, Chile, pp. 65-98. (In Spanish).

Lee, Sang-Hyop, and Andrew Mason. 2005. “Mother’s Education, Learning-by-Doing, and Child Health Care in Rural India,” Comparative Education Review 49(4): 534-551.

Ogawa, Naohiro. 2005. "Population Aging and Policy Options for Suitable Future: The case of Japan," GENUS 6: 369-410.

Ogawa, Naohiro, Makoto Kondo, and Rikiya Matsukura. 2005. "Japan’s Transition from the Demographic Bonus to the Demographic Onus," Asian Population Studies 1: 207-226.

Ogawa, Naohiro, Sang-Hyop Lee, and Rikiya Matsukura. 2005. “Health and Its Impact on Work and Dependency among the Elderly in Japan.” Asian Population Studies 1: 121-145.

Turra, Cassio M., and Bernardo L. Queiroz. 2005. “Transferencias Intergeracionais: uma análise internacional,” Revista Brasileira de Estudos da População, 22(1), Brasil, pp.191-195 (In Portuguese).

Lee, Sang-Hyop, and Andrew Mason. 2005. “Aging and Old-Age Support Systems: Issues and Reforms”, in A New Paradigm for Social Welfare in the New Millennium, edited by Lee-Jay Cho, Hyungpyo Moon, Yoon Hyung Kim, and Sang-Hyop Lee. Seoul: Korea Development Institute, pp. 187-228.

Mason, Andrew. 2005. “Economic Demography”, in Handbook on Population, edited by Michael Micklin and Dudley Poston. Klewer Academic/Plenum Publishers.

Mason, Andrew, Sang-Hyop Lee, and Gerard Russo. 2005. “Demography of Aging Across Asia” (Ch. 2), in Handbook of Asian Aging, edited by H. Yoon and J. Hendricks. Amityville, NY: Baywood Publishing Co., pp. 25-65.